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Post by sd on Aug 7, 2021 9:10:10 GMT -5
sATURDAY UPDATE- EOW-$240,561.85 better than a deeper decline- my belated reentry 2 weeks ago has not been productive overall, but I added a few stocks along the way- Reviewing the Stockcharts Scan Engine to consider ways to narrow the investing landscape. >>>will review and will post on this later-
Big Wildfires and drought are still ongoing in the West- The Delta spread is increasing at a rapid rate- A number of companies are mandating vaccinations for employees- Courts have upheld employer's right to make that mandate- It now appears that it is well confirmed that even fully vaccinated people can contract the Delta varient- although symptoms are supposed to be relatively milder if vaccinated and likely prevent hospitalizations. However, they can also transmit the disease to others-Children under 12 do not have an approved vaccine- and the FDA has failed to yet approve the vaccine for adults- leading to hesitation for others to get the shot- Will the recovery be impacted by Delta- it already is affecting the supply chain in overseas suppliers-
-www.Finviz.com- Easy to register- put in an email and a password. Finviz has a complete offering- charts, fundamental and technical screener. Scan criteria- easy to do lOTS OF YOU TUBE VIDEOS...
You have to respect David Keller- Overall, there is a negative Bias -yet the market makes new highs
www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYVLd80bVhE
He is anticipating the market correcting about -10%- at some point-
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Post by sd on Aug 8, 2021 8:51:49 GMT -5
noting the market rotation shifting into higher performance for the financials, with Tech appearing to lag Higher Bond rates affecting Growth sector- favoring cyclicals. Gold taking a hit this week - Bitcoin rallying-
The Friday Close:
Attending a webinar today with Jon Carter- Simpler Trading - on Trading a small account with Options (Never done Options) Very real- down to Earth presentation ; never dabbled with Options as I've always heard that on average 90% expire worthless- and the terminology seemed complex- I've got his book- "Mastering the Trade- Liked the webinar- Have to choose to learn more-and to decide what to Pay- Learning on your own can be expensive _ican attest to that!
Net net-Seems we are in the Phase3 Distribution/rotation phase presently,.Although the markets are net higher- breadth is narrow.
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Post by sd on Aug 8, 2021 17:06:28 GMT -5
VWAP- Learning something new
www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_Yh2qljEp4
with stockcharts: In the ACP charting platform:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=nW-H8WyTeBQ
Quick review: The anchored VWAP is accessible on the ACP charting program be anchored in stockcharts- The conventional stockcharts charting program I presently use has VWAP but it is not interactive and cannot be anchored . VWAP looks interesting but I'd have to learn the ACP program- Like all things Tech, there's that learning curve that gets gradually steeper for an old F... Going Fishing tomorrow (monday) - Not trying to compete on the weekends with the wake boats and Jet skis! Quiet and peaceful during the week days.
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Post by sd on Aug 9, 2021 16:42:44 GMT -5
8-9-21 The fishing was Slooow- a few small catfish and white bass- but the Lake was almost empty - quiet and peaceful! Came back home to find aa ho-hum day- with the 10 yr up to 1.325%- Big disappointment- MRNA up +70.00 today- without me because i had tightened a stop loss last week as I added to the positiuon- So I missed out on a $400 1 day -i stock gain by locking in a much smaller -protect net profits gain with a raised stop.... I should expand on this line of thinking, because it goes to the crux of trying to hold positions for longer term for larger gains- I added to the MRNA trade as it moved higher-Nothing wrong with that per se, but uit then paused and pulled back well below where I had entered- But i was somewhat prepared as i had a decent profit at the time- In protecting some of that profit, my raised stop-loss was taken out Friday- and the stock rallies +$70.00 today- At the same time, I have been trying to add stocks that have net positive earnings gains-and should be able to continue higher-
Commodities taking a big hit today - a lot of the market psychology is wrapped up in viewing the 10 yr rates, what the Fed may do in raising rates earlier due to some higher than expected inflation; and markets are being held up by the mega caps-
As i have entered the stock arena more recently than in the past- learning some lessons there as well- Somewhat conflicted about the Risk and the Opportunity brought about by holding individual stocks. Presently holding a diverse group of stocks-post earnings- along with larger ETF positions- Not focused just on the "In the News" names. Single largest stock position is GOOG- with 4 shares- finally breaking out of it's recent range today. Followed by MSFT-;AAPL; ADP;BP;CDW;COST,DG,ILMN,INTU;MRO;VICR;NDAQ;TEAM;TRMB;VIAC;ZS,DOV;PNR;ROK;TSLA- All stocks that appeared to have uptrurns or continued uptrends- -most with positive earnings guidance-We'll see- most are relatively smaller positions - and something of an experiment- in terms of solid upside- Cost and DG steady earners- check out that nice smooth low volatility uptrend! Intentionally taking a mixture of positions though-VIAC falls into the investment category- ETFs holding mostly US - and just started some foreign market exposures using INDA (india);HEDJ Europe- hedged-; EMXC- emerging without China exposure- I think the issue is these foreign markets are likely to be impacted by the new Covid more than the US markets- If the US markets give a knee jerk reaction to a Fed announcement- almost all positions will be affected.
Evening news is all about the Delta Spread- and increased hospitalizations- and it's a poltical football in play- In FLA, and Texas- and many parts of the country. Mask mandates are hotly debated- as students return to schools. As the Delta spread continues, it's likely to become a negative for the return to work- return to normal- and to have business rebound as expected- As the free money unemployment checks cease in the weeks ahead, People will be forced to return to work- The moratorium on mortgage/rent evictions expired but is being reinstated- The Infrastructure Bill is closer to passage- So ETFs like PAVE should actually benefit. Global Warning is supposedly at a crisis and tipping point that will not be quickly remedied by our slow adjustment to reduce green house emmissions glbally- The ESG concious ETFs should continue to be in focus by investors with those concerns- I hold positions in 2 such funds: USXF,ESGU. I also thought KRBN would be such a winner- but it's price action is too volatile .
Olympics wrapped up- US took the most medals-But Covid kept the stands vacant. So much for the Global recovery!
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Post by sd on Aug 10, 2021 6:51:44 GMT -5
8-10-21
Futures relatively Flat premarket- Nas up slightly - All-Star Charts- "hot Stocks" list- At a quick glance, I see some real declining dogs on this list- "Under the Hood" and many not resembling the PBH chart at all. Definitely a 'variety' in this list-
DraftKIngs has shown some strength over the prior 2 days- Increased volume - as it has moved higher on the news it is acquiring another gambling company headed by Tillman Fertitta- who also has large interests in other companies-incl restaurants... Not going to take a gamble on this though-
1 day outcome:
Crypto amendment in the infrastructure Bill in the news... Paying for all of this, the Dems are proposing new taxes on business. - It appears that many businesses legally are not paying any Federal taxes
itep.org/55-profitable-corporations-zero-corporate-tax/
A basic ETF scan on ETFs making new 30 day highs yesterday has 53 returns- with the majority having SCTR ratings above 90-
10 yr rate rising -benefits financials-investment banking, Looking to add via an ETF today-
Bought the XLF financial ETF- potentially breaking out to a new high- Added 50 shares to the MRO energy/oil position on the upmove Bought SYY -food supplier on an earnings beat. Bought PAVE break higher.
PAVE is an infrastructure ETF that had previously had a big run.
Goldman boosts End of year S&P target to $4,700.
sTEEL SECTOR SHOWING STRENGTH-Buying the SLX index. SCTR 99.7 Individual steel cos with high ratings: TX,NUE,CLF,TMST,X,MT,CMC,RYI
I added STLD- on today's range breakout- I also found that I wondered why it's PE is so much lower thAN NUE or CLF-NUE the "Best of Breed" according to Cramer-
steel sector sorted to just put the US names 1st:
Infrastructure bill passed the House- causing the pop in these names- although they previously had been pushed higher months ago.
I already had a position in ROK- an automation development company- and I added to that position today and then googled best automation companies-
www.insidermonkey.com/blog/10-best-automation-stocks-for-2021-938361/
Not only does the US see a labor shortage, but wage inflation will continue to push business to reduce the workforce and streamline activities where possible, across all industries technology pushes for greater efficiencies in order for a company to remain competitive .... Out of the list of prime companies in the article, 1/2 are trending higher- while 1/2 are flat to lower recently- I want to go with those companies rallying higher- ROK, ETN, EMR and also HON for their controls-
iN THE WATER SPACE- i HOLD THE pho etf-and PNR- added XYL today, and will consider DHR tomorrow-looks toppish today. possibly J Jacobs engr. I added the industrial index today XLI. may review AQUA, PWR for tomorrow-
Dow Closing at a record today .Nas down.5% Adv -decliners 2:1
10 yr 1.344% -Trying to understand the balance between the 10 yr rate being higher- bad for Tech, higher rates supports the value segment-
With today's stock entries- most have reported or will in a few weeks...I won't be setting tight stop-losses - I'm going to explore holding and perhaps even "Investing" partially- as an act of faith that the market isn't about to drop 50% - I may reduce some of my Tech holdings-depending on the market rotation, and the rising 10 yr . Adding the individual stocks into the mix vs just the ETF adds Risk as well as potential higher reward- As i explore this area further, I'm well aware that this is not considered to be a "good" time -seasonally- for stock performance- The daily PSAR typically gives plenty of leeway for stocks to perform over a longer period- and that may become my go-to for stops-
The relative performance today favored Energy, Industrials, Financials at the expense of healthcare, Tech- Real estate....
While I added the broad Financial ETF- XLF into the mix- should be a broad beneficiary of the rise in rates- a sub sector that may outperform in the financial segment is the Brokers-Dealers IAI- and today on CNBC- Santoli did a comparisom chart of the Capitol Markets ETF KCE - which i had never heard of-
After reviewing the Perf chart over the past 2021 year on different investment periods, the IAI appears to be the better performer over the longer and shorter terms.
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Post by sd on Aug 11, 2021 6:53:16 GMT -5
8-11-21 Futures flat- 10 yr 1.3666 Several Local counties- Durham, Orange, Johnston are reinstating mask mandates for indoors and schools- I would expect that more companies and gov't agencies will mandate vaccinations to return to work- While Lolo and I are fully vaccinated, it does not stop getting the virus' Delta or other variations- but reportedly will likely prevent a severe or life threatening infection developing- And Yes, vaccinated people can contract and still spread the virus - That became "Known" a few weeks ago- but the impact of that information has not been fully realized- Previously it was thought that if you were vaccinated, you were "safe" among other vaccinated people. That is no longer the case- How this will affect the recovery and scarcity of willing workers to fill the millions of available jobs will not be a positive- Another development for those that elect and can work from home: Goog will be reducing their pay- some as much as 25% ! www.news.com.au/finance/work/at-work/google-to-cut-employee-pay-25-per-cent-for-working-from-home/news-story/0f9e3a145f2cf5fdbf7155ac54985ee5 That's a step other employers will also be considering in the "new" economy- That also means that those that can connect to their job electronically and don't have to show up in person, are now going to be in competition from every qualified applicant around the globe with a computer-That's the logical extension of working being performed primarily through the connected global internet- I think this has huge ramifications for the disruption of work as we know it today- The competition is now Global- And while the in demand -in person workers are reportedly getting higher pay and some signing bonuses, the trend may go in the other direction for Stay-at home employees-
And while the public push is now to develop and allow a vaccination for children-The FDA still has not approved the adult vaccines that are being used. That obviously does not instill confidence in those debating whether to get the vaccine. NY Gov Cuomo has submitted his resignation -14 days- due to his kissing, groping, and unwanted advances-of 11 women over the years- usually work associates. He said he was not aware of the social norms/changes that have evolved in the recent decade- and Bill Cosby was recently released from prison while he actually committed numerous drug related rapes-
Joby Aviation -- futuristic air taxis - go public today- Love to have one of those!
www.theverge.com/2021/7/27/22595877/joby-aviation-electric-air-taxi-150-mile-flight
CPI report came in as expected- and pushed the futures into the green!
Will the recent upmove in financials fade if Bond rates don't continue to rise-?
Retailing stocks doing well- Nice uptrends continuing in COST, DG (both are positions) I added KOHLS -KSS- ON IT'S RECENT UPMOVE FROM A DOWNTREND- WITH SCHOOL ABOUT TO REOPEN- It has moved out of it's recent 49-52.50 base- and on good volume
WMT was a retail pick to play catch up by Carter Worth-
EOD- Nas finishes slightly in the Red- Dow & S&P higher. Overall a net pos day with a lot of stocks trending higher- including the infrastructure names- I may have to review the IWF position and adjust that into the IWD value - Shift from growth to value-
MRNA had a big run up and exceeded the valuation of MERCK- Analyst suggests that MRNA shgould be priced in the $150.00 range- based on valuatuion and sales projections.
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Post by sd on Aug 12, 2021 5:07:18 GMT -5
8-12-21 Futures flat premarket-
Ever get caught in taking a breakout trade only to find it fails and reverses to become a sell-off ? This video- SMBCapitol- Day trading firm - analyses a newer trader's approach to taking a short position - While not day trading myself- some of the lessons taught on price action apply to all time frames- There was also a suggestion by the mentor to use the anchored VWAP level as a place to confirm the direction of the move- This example of a day trade also has the trader viewing the $tick and market ADD - advance/decline- putting his short trade also in the direction of the markets, going with the direction of the market Flow-
www.youtube.com/watch?v=AhUgJx93PlY
a PRODUCTIVE/profitable DAY - Markets coming to grips with the potential for the Delta virus to cause manageable disruptions? CDC declares that 90% of US Counties should have indoor mask mandates- FB is delaying the return to the Office until 2022 ! DIS beats on earnings, Parks becoming profitable again. ABNB, SOFI,DOOR all lower after earnings tonight. ABNB beaqt on revenues but delivered cautious guidance due to Delta-
Finally seeing Tech- AAPL make a +2% day- MSFT,GOOG higher. while the 10 year is holding @ 1.361%- Russell was down, but the small cap growth IWF was up - Perhaps this is becoming a wider market ....even the ARK funds were slightly in the green....and Financials closed higher.
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Post by sd on Aug 13, 2021 6:28:39 GMT -5
8-13-21 Futures are barely positive several hrs ahead of the opening.
Earnings factset from Guy and Dan @ 10:46- High expectations for future earnings - which will likely come back to earth once we get back to some normalcy.
kvgo.com/oetv/1046_live_aug12
David Keller- "The Final BAR " His primary chartlist: stockcharts.com/articles/sharedcharts.php?cc=1631730 WED Final bar- rotation -https://stockcharts.com/articles/sharedcharts.php?cc=1631730 Thursday: He illustrates that the Thursday upside move in AAPL- and how it performs over the next days will be a larger signal for where the market goes- stockcharts.com/tv/episodes/the-final-bar.html?campaign=web&gclid=CjwKCAjwsNiIBhBdEiwAJK4khgOG-EMifSiKUcQn3FyMB3sVLq-cnu9S6QcGFgq3I-PdKTCB_65x2xoCN9oQAvD_BwE
Interesting forum posts by Keller: www.hvst.com/posts/what-work-actually-means-wV2TzgYa
As Keller alluded to- a Stealth rotation undercurrent is still allowing the markets to grind higher- In the trading account, I've initiated tight stops to protect my entry costs if price moves higher- IB: Got whipsawed in STLD yesterday by an intraday drop hitting that stop-and it then rallied sharply higher- I've elected to apply tighter stops in that account- and to try to take smaller losses and watch price closely on a faster - 4 hr, or possibly a 2 hr time frame -to detect that excess momentum move- Electing to use stops - What methods does one use- PSAR is interesting- starts out very wide though on the daily-0 and gets progressively tighter on the faster time frames- 4 hr, 2 HR , 1 hr- I may explore the VWAP and use the ATR value of that time frame -
END OF WEEK- $241,374.00 10 yr yield dropped a bit $1.28% IB $21,537.00
lOOKING OVER THE CHARTS TODAY: My Tech holdings held in a sideways range for the last 3 weeks- Markets end up higher, despite the Delta and Mask mandates resuming in many areas- including my County today in NC. I've made some shifts in my holdings- I had relatively large positions in Goog, AAPL-VOOG, MGK, and i reduced them today. That means these can move out substantially higher now , because they have been dead weight for weeks and frankly you have to be aware that these also held the markets up as part of the mega cap group. I want to see them breakout of the present range- Today's price action looked to be near the upper end of that range- but that has proven to be strong resistance-for weeks- For large positions, not making any significant gains - Of course, that was a reaction to my belated 7-22, 7-23 repositioning move -capturing the peak of that quick 4 day move. That also effectively found the Top- and we have been range bound -
Did find a number of better positions this week by narrowing the selections to those stocks or ETFs in uptrends and potentially breaking out- or already moving higher- Prior week entries that were already in steady uptrends- Stocks like DG, COST, have generated nice relative gains without any volatility. Now I'm Employing a tighter stop-loss approach-I've held a number of positions with wide stops- and a few with no hard stops after getting whipsawed last week with GNRC- and FTNT- and so I'm switching to use stop-limits to prevent that kind of Price manipulation to run stops and execute them at an extreme lower price . I held a position in CDW- without stops- and today's price action was a similar wake up call that appears to be market makers running the price down to exercise the lower stop-losses and acquire them prior to a further upmove- The price action appears as a bullish candle on a daily chart- but the down leg and move back higher All occurred in the 1st 5 minutes of the open~! The Daily Chart :
The 15 minute chart to illustrate the "breakout day" as well as today-Institutional buying came in to -push price sell offers down-and cause the stops to become sells- and then reverses higher- surges through the breakout level- to a brand new high! Also- Notice all of the major volume buying occurs right at the Close every day- Institutional buying accumulating a position.
The most recent 5 minute chart action- certainly illustrates that the market makers that opened the price so much below the closing prices allowed the low open bidder to accumulate all the trailing stop-losses from $196 down to 191.35 ! All of that lower and cheaper "supply" was absorbed by the institution snapping up the shares at the low open price- and then that 5 minute bar closed immediately higher $198.54 !!! The Assumption is that there is institutional demand that wants to continue to accumulate this stock- The increased Buy volume in the final Closing minutes continued this week.
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Post by sd on Aug 14, 2021 7:12:30 GMT -5
A Clear explanation on how to use the RRG in combination with the scan functions to find the leading groups and then the best individual performers-
stockcharts.com/articles/charthingychers/2021/08/from-sectors-to-groups-to-stoc-66.html
Grayson Rose- on setting up cap weighted and equal weighted comnparison industry charts with relative strength- and using the ACP charts to have additional ways to view multiple charts- The ACP also includes more chart functionality programs-vs the typical sharpchart format. something new to explore. Starting with sector performance analysis - and drilling down - plus includes a link to his chart list uploads www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ym6aBmabdM8
David Keller- Final bar week wrap :https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h0a_hrIoIVQ&list=PLyNJu-3PikrS8Qs5_LwIK4LOpkDp8z-uO&index=1
David Keller webinar on applying relative strength - Tuesday 8-17 Register here:https://www.marketmisbehavior.com/relativestrength
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Post by sd on Aug 16, 2021 9:47:38 GMT -5
8-16-21 Slept in late following yesterday's wedding of our youngest daughter ! A wonderful time and beautiful wedding .
Woke up to see the markets are all in the Red, TSLA dropping hard on investigations into many crash incidents-
A lot of stops being activated - Will assess later today...
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Post by sd on Aug 17, 2021 8:18:34 GMT -5
8-17-21 Futures down-Red across the board 15 min pre open. Despite the many stops executed, locked in some gains as well as some losses, the portion of the portfolio holdings Closed at a net high above last week. Doing some defensive buying today - AMT- REIT - held a position previously-for weeks- was stopped out for a gain, and today reentered on the pullback. Bought WMT as it had good earnings, continues to breakout. Looking to add to the defensive names. Will buy PG on it's breakout $145.00 Theres a large institutional short position against the ARKK funds- I hold partial positions in 4 of the funds -and plan to add on a much deeper decline-DCA - will add at the prior May lows - AAPL breaking out higher today- I had sold the majority of the position last week- Holding just 15 shares- AAPL as a bell weather name -broke out yesterday, but today's price action -is tepid after trying to move to a new high, is pulling back - PFE,MRNA,BNTX up on the news that a booster is going to be recommended for ALL people after 8 mos past their vaccinations. INTL- Afganistan withdrawal a Fiasco- Taliban has overtaken the entire country in less than a week- O'Biden (as one newscaster referred to him) totally missed the warnings given to him by the military- a gross miscalculation - The administration is trying to spin damage control. Thousands will be slaughtered by the Taliban for assisting the US over the past 20 years. Although the Taliban declared today they will not do so... Sold AAPL a few minutes ago-Take the gains off the table today; and again adjusting stops to at least be Close with the daily Psar as a guide- ROK - industrial automation just stopped out - secures a small profit as the market is in a dour mood- ARKK has a big Burry short aginst the fund-and also against TSLA- I had a small TSLA position that stopped out yesterday - After a push higher, it turned back South.
The infrastructure and steel plays all stopped out - Healthcare sector XLV, is the single green sector- with staples XLP relatively flat
At Midday, the indexes are down over -1% ....Tech -1.5
Healthcare sector winners I'm considering to take a position in - making a basket of some individual names showing strength in a weak tape.
ADDED: New Stock Positions in the healthcare sector- From industry groups medical devices, medical equipment, healthcare providers- Looking for those with strong upside moves that are in an uptrend-BREAKING HIGHER OR ON THE VERGE OF MOVING HIGHER- ABBV,RMD,EW,ZTS,MASI,WST,STE -THESE ADDED TODAY .Also , PG,AMT,WMT - on average a 1% -1.5% position size except I placed a duplicate order on EW, with a 45 share size the end result.
Aside from the usually weak seasonality for this month, the markets have essentially ground higher- amidst a lot of a rolling rotation.
My net tactical approach is to get stops into breakeven and /or lock in gains when there is enough room. and take the tighter and smaller loss where called for. As the market is shifting, and becoming more cautious, it pays to consider where the market is showing leadership and weakness- Certainly there are some few large cap stocks -like AAPL- that just made a new high... but they are also subject to the undercurrent in the market-
I think it now appears that the FED will announce an earlier taper of the buying of funds- and where will the Bond market be over the next weeks? The much talked about "correction" may finall occur- perhaps a generic -5% -10% - OR PERHAPS WILL IT LOOK MORE SINISTER?
I gave up on KWEB as it broke the 50 ema- Just look at those periods where it tried to make a Reversal of the Trend- (R.O.T.) rally, that simply continued to fail, unable to get Price back across the declining 50 ema. Even for most "Investors" a real warning should be to realize that a break of the 50 ema is often a sign of further weakness- THE KWEB holds the major internet Chinese names- BABA, PDD, JD, DIDI, etc- and those names have been crushed by the Chinese gov't restrictions and regulation over these companies that got too big for their britches. Since this is an ETF holding a basket of individual stocks-The drop in this ETF will see even greater drops in some of the holdings-
KWEB ; CHINESE INTERNET COMPANIES:
FXI: cHINESE FOCUSED etf:lOOKED LIKE
AND THE EEM WITH A 34% CHINA EXPOSURE:
EMXC - EMERGING MARKETS WITHOUT CHINA EXPOSURE
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Post by sd on Aug 18, 2021 7:53:49 GMT -5
8-18-21 fUTURES RELATIVELY FLAT PREMARKET... We'll see if the markets continue to favor the defensive sectors today- Healthcare, Staples, utilities, and real estate..
From Josh @ the Forkening: Fastest Recovery in History for the market to Double!
MKTS ended in the RED
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Post by sd on Aug 19, 2021 8:29:16 GMT -5
8-9-21 Futures in the Red for another low open-A rolling Stealth correction appears to be well underway- Concerns about the Fed tightening bond purchases by the end of the year . GS cut it's growth GDP expectations by 40% from 9% to 5.5%- likely on the future impact of Covid affecting the economic recovery. Mid day- markets recover the AM losses!
I had added from the defensive segments- including XLP- consumer staples-, Healthcare stocks- I sold AAPL as it had moved higher and the remaining portion- Account has dropped by 1.5% this week- and the diversification areas are also seeing weakness- While I've been preoccupied this week with things beyond the market- today I will have to give the entire holdings a review. Stops are in place in most positions- with the exception of the ARK funds-pretty volatile and close to the bottom of the recent range-
Indexes all open down -3/4 %-- by 10 am the trend should start to take hold. GOOG is opening below the past Month's range ... Ford is closing some plants due to the chip shortage The TIDE is going out for the indexes again 8 stops executing on the low open- EMR,ILMN,COST,STE,EMXC,XLK,CDW,HON Europe - VGK- gapping down to the 50 ema EEM - including China exposure a gap down to now be a loser for the entire year. EMXC- a large -2% gap down - This market volatility and sideways action is certainly taking it's toll on stops-Particularly, if we see a reversal higher later this week-
Of my most recent healthcare buys- STE stopped out today on it's tight stop- ZTS,WST,RMD,MASI,EW,ABBV, XLV, XLP, PG are all in the green and higher today- The purchase of these was based on their gaining and in bullish up trends within a "defensive XLV sector" while the markets were soft this week. STE has not made a full recovery yet today... As i think the markets continue to be volatile, perhaps correcting, I will continue to be defensive, and scanning for those defensive sectors that show winners- and try to adjust the balance of the holdings into these sectors- For those that have been succesful in Buying the Dip- today could be that day! SCANNING FOR STOCKS MAKING NEW 52 WEEK HIGHS- Stocks with high SCTR scores making new highs today in a weak market narrows the field of candidates to select from- Ideally , SCTR
added a new ARKX position-today- added to the existing ARKF,ARKQ, ARKG at these recent prior Lows- To an extent this is Averaging Down from my higher entries- Despite the volatility, these have all been in a range after the major market declines in Feb, and I recently took small entries. Adding to these is a contrarian move to my preferred method-which is solely to go with uptrends- But i think CW is a brilliant manager, and that over the long term her funds will again become outperformers- I may draw a line in the sand below the present bottom of the range- and install stops due to the larger position size now. The ARKX "space" fund- is diversified Started a 100 share position today .
Repurchasing COST- after my stop got hit thisw am, locked in a nice gain- and restarting a 10 share position today with a stop @ just below today's intraday swing low. This has been an easy, low volatility hold.
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Post by sd on Aug 20, 2021 8:09:26 GMT -5
8-20-21 fUTURES AGAIN ALL IN THE RED! But improving over the premarket . Relying on stops and the adoption of those recent buys that have been trending despite the market- At this point, the market's rotation and greater volatility is not supporting the "investor" , who largely has to grimace and bear it. While I've attempted to be diversified, and adaptive; No crystal ball to see what drops out of favor- and what comes in - Trends are starting to see pullbacks this week after making new highs- It's easier to think we will correct further than continue to push/grind to new highs. Break through Covid will now support boosters for all vaccinated- 3 senators now confirmed to have breakthrough infections. Afganistan is a crisis that reminds the public of the over run of Saigon in the Vietnam war- and points to the lack of comprehension by this administration ow what would unfold- Chip shortage continues to affect Auto makers, We are reliant on foreign mfg's China and US relations are poor- and the Global recovery is not guaranteed.
Futures just ahead of the market open are now in the green for the indexes- ! I bought A, ALKS. in the pm yesterday- CRM earlier in the Day- Added a position in REGN in the IB account @ $661.44-m Drug appd in UK. Also- Not a Typo- REGN pharma breaking out on the new high scan- 10 @ $264.80 at 9:45 am IB MSFT position- nice gap higher - New highs. The 52 week high nasdaq Scans @ 10 am :I disregard the low SCTR scores - Positions I hold : MSFT SCTR is 88.5,COST making a new high Sctr 92.5 and I bought REGN Sctr 96.6; RGEN Sctr 96.9 on breakouts
the NYSE list 42 -sorted by SCTR scores- I have positions in some of these- Looking at stocks or sectors providing strength - particularly in times of market weakness will ideally keep me focused on what is working-
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Post by sd on Aug 21, 2021 11:52:58 GMT -5
qUICK THOUGHTS ON sATURDAY- Editing video clips from last week's wedding- EOW $240,479 closing value for the Van accts- IB up slightly from last week- This week I made a real focus on trading those stocks with higher SCTR ratings and that were breaking out to new highs- particularly when the market was weak most of the week. Quite a few adds in the healthcare/medical groups- Ark funds finally gave a bit of a rally Friday- As we are ending August- a typically weak period for the markets -and September as well,- The market breadth is still weakening- with large caps generally performing- and small caps remain in a weak sideways trend- One has to repect the warnings from most of the market technicians- I had reduced my Goog position- down to 1 share....and sold off AAPL as it had moved higher earlier-this week.
tbc later.
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