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Post by sd on Aug 22, 2021 6:52:49 GMT -5
8-22 -21 Random: Seasonal historical average market returns Courtesy of Jason Leavitt www.youtube.com/watch?v=RcMW5tO3qLc
The long term average composite including seasonality of returns, Presidential cycle period , 10 yr historical cycle; from 1928-2020 Blue line historical average- Orange line present market
Both charts suggest that the seasonal tendacies are not bullish- Will this year be any exception? Supports adopting a more cautious approach-over the next months.... JL says he will be issuing a new video that takes the bullish side ... hERE: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z3SrasWPJao
Reading a few SA articles this am - Having an alternative approach when what one is accustomed to applying does not meet one's expectations- is not unusual depending on the market cycle- Adapting to the evolving market by erring more on the side of caution, and making smaller trades, holding a larger % in cash- are defensive alternates- The entire market timing approach has been tested these past 5 months as the market has gone through a series of sector rotations- pushing segments to new highs and then pulling the momentum away- Small caps, Value, Materials, Energy- all saw bigger up moves earlier this year , only to find that large and mega caps are the favored area de jour.
Since i am retired, and trying to manage my IRA/Roth accounts, I find myself willing to listen to those with alternative approaches- particularly when they clainm to offer good returns , yet lower Volatility and Risk- I haven't been able to make much headway in recent months- although I am making shifts in my trades and positions- It's a slow grind that is giving back prior profits- This 3 bucket strategy outlined in this SA article provides the readers with a diversified market approach, with only one segment (bucket) that does a market rotation strategy- Of course, the author bases the cash value on one having a Million Dollar portfolio- so you and i would need to reduce the allocations to fewer and smaller - should we adopt this type of strategy- seekingalpha.com/article/4450831-just-retired-earn-6-percent-income-
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Post by sd on Aug 22, 2021 17:23:25 GMT -5
New 52 week high scans from EOD Friday - A high SCTR rating- above 90 - often means better momentum and performance- rather than a score below 90. The scans also indicate which industry groups/sectors may have strong leaders- We ended the week in positive territory- and the scan returned NYSE 87; Nasdaq 44, Amex 12
i.imgur.com/TmLKOmg.png[/img] From the Nasdaq:44 new highs: The AMEX -just 12 We haven't seen this in a while- A Friday Close with all sectors in the Green! Of course, this is just the Friday results: Into the open: ARK funds all higher- I added on the dip last week- toe stepping into buying and holding . added to the conservaztive NHF position today- Bought a small HOOD position today as coverage started on HOOD (Robinhood) filled $44.04 Bought ACN breakout [/font]
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Post by sd on Aug 22, 2021 20:24:26 GMT -5
The Weekly summary actually tosses some cold water on what appears bullish on the Friday daily- The reality is that Utilities, Healthcare, and Real Estate- and even tech, mostly defensive sectors - led the week, with Energy dropping-7% , materials , financials, and industrials all giving back from the prior week's levels.
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Post by sd on Aug 23, 2021 6:31:34 GMT -5
--- -8-23-21 Futures all in the Green! good way to start the Week! Big premarket numbers ! Couple of hours to the open, so things can and will change- but I think this bodes well for many of my recent positions. Many have been selected from the daily scans, and I intentionally have added to the more defensive sectors- healthcare indexes and medical supplies stocks that are strong- High SCTR ratings - I also added some steady-eddy types of names- some individuial Reits-were a Friday add- As the market does appear to be shifting to more of a "Risk-Off" positioning-, exploring these alternative investments should reduce the Risk in thaqt portion of the Port- primarily done in the Van IRA... The scans provide a quick way to narrow the field to what is working today-Stocks -or ETFs making new highs- and a good way to see where the market's trend is heading is to view the industry group listings- Keeping in mind that this year has seen such a quick rotation- It seems that once a segment comes into favor, it's rise is relatively short-lived, and that makes an investment "theme" more difficult to stay the course on- Indeed, that "stay the Course" is akin to the Titanic failing to shift early enough to avoid disaster-something applying stops to trades that turn South protects against Adapting-Change - somewhat difficult for myself -and likely many other active traders to do- In the trading approach, one point that trading instructors- like SMB- and others illustrate- don't just jump from one strategy to another- When markets were trending strong, and Tech was the focus- it was the Easy Money to be aboard the uptrend- When that trend changed- the charts told you that the momentum had left- I've heard that Hedge funds -in general- have had a difficult time to keep up with the market gyrations this year- and myself- as well-
The Buy the Dip mindset - is now conditioned in investors/funds- according to Mohammed ElAlerian-Something I haven't been very good at- but in a trending market, that is the way to accumulate stocks at a discount- Those drops back to the 50 ema are periodically "Normal" - and buying at that low pullback- has seen a continued move higher-- It also provides one with a line in the sand that the trend should not see price go below that "key" level of investor support- Buying the positive move off the 50 ema has generally been a winner's approach...in this bull market- I haven't been able to bring myself to embrace that approach though-seems that the trend is long in the tooth- but look at what appears to be a big recovery move today!
ADDED LONGS- Bought the oversold XLE on today's bounce higher- Heading back into Tech- IGV, QQEW,XLK, Large Cap mega- MGK, and i also went back into IWF- small cap growth new high. JOET fund- Terranova- actively managed- New high. Some individual stock names- back into FTNT, TRMB, Added to the HEDJ (europe) position, and at the very Close- EMXC Despite the Fear factor Nasdcaq $14,942 another record high, S&P almost-
It appears that the vaccine FDA approval today will be a positive - Took forever... but it also aqllows employers to have a legitimate basis to require employees get the vaccinations. Tom Lee believes the markets have reasons to continue higher. into next year- The Talk around is that the Fed will announce it's plans to taper it's market support by less buying - of MBS and funds- I still hold a 25% cash position in the IRA-
I saw my most conservative picks - decline today- Reits, P&G,WMT- While I have a relatively large % , 30 share position in MSFT, I sold out of AAPL last week netting some profits- It's still in the top end of it's recent range-and I'll have exposure to it in several of the funds i bought-
ARK funds had a good day, participating in the upside- Something of a relief as i added to those positions at last week's continued- weakness.
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Post by sd on Aug 24, 2021 6:32:25 GMT -5
8-24-21 Futures up mildly- morning appointment- AM- Asia mkts higher- China tech rally continues (KWEB -no exposure- I did add previously to my Emerging markets exposure EX China-EMXC
AAPL now above where I sold it- and GOOG finally breaks out- 1 position only - Political discord in passing the House Infrastructure-, budget resolution; Democrats trying to pass a budget reconciliation that doesn't need support from Republicans- "The budget plan would expand Medicare coverage, extend strengthened household tax credits passed last year, create incentives to adopt green energy, broaden paid family and medical leave, and boost access to child care, among other measures. Biden sees it as complementary to the infrastructure plan." Push now continues for vaccines to be mandated by employers-
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Post by sd on Aug 24, 2021 20:09:51 GMT -5
8-24-21 EOD musings- After a rousing challenge of the Mexican Train Dominoes- with the wife - This is a great family game - and it involves some strategy and a good dose of Luck- I also think it's a great Family game to get children involved with number recognition. Having never played Dominoes before, there is a slight learning curve - but it's worthwhile! www.walmart.com/ip/Mexican-Train-Dominoes-Game-in-Aluminum-Carry-Case-for-Families-and-Kids-Ages-8-and-up/1830875704 Time to put it in perspective: What's important in this life, and what is the Plan B? I exchanged some e-mails today with IRA - the last active contributor on this DG Forum, and he had recently retired, and yet soon found that he had Parkinson's. It seems a real injustice that one works for 50 years and wants to enjoy the "Golden Years " with your spouse and family only to find that your dreams and visions of a care-free retirement are cut short by a disease that suddenly appears- out of no-wheres. My recent co-worker - Justin- age 45 - great person- Father and family focused- plenty of goals and dreams for the next 30 years for himself with his wife and children- cut short with the diagnosis of a Gliablastoma- Brain tumor-Surgery, Radiation, and hopes for a medical therapy Trial.... My life long friend- John- Out of the Blue- the "pressure' he thought was in his cheek as a muscle disorder turns into a stage 4 carcinoma - mild symptoms- but beyond effective treatment- He passed a few short months later.
What all have in common, is that the outcome was totally unanticipated, and truly out of the blue- And certainly unplanned and Life changing, or, sadly, even eliminating- or debilitating. The survivors experience a Loss all the more difficult as it was not 'expected' -
As we get focused and occupied in the here and now, it's easy to not consider the "What if" scenarios we never anticipate- but know could occur but only as a remote possibility. So, outside of the Here and now , what is the Plan B if Life deals us an unfair hand? Is our family covered by insurance should the unthinkable occur? What about our trading/investing accounts? Black Swan events are far more common than we realize- 500 year floods come with several in a short span... And, if anything should be expected, it's that the markets will deliver the unexpected when we least anticipate it. What is the insurance plan for our accounts? Diversification brings some of that, but in a market drop- like Feb/March- it was only a question of what went down the least, what drops the hardest? Was I ready to jump into bonds-TLT? Here we are, in an extended market, yet i find myself putting additional cash in to work what seems like a chase to the top-
If we have a typical -10% correctionm on the S&P , what will my different positions do? Will they decline more- or possibly less? I find I'm diversifying investments, giving some additional room for stops- and even recently making some investments close to the 50 ema.day pullbacks-, certainly - not the defensive- pullback within the defensive approach the environment might suggest-although, i have added investments from 'defensive sectors' like REITS- Add to that , Seasonality tells me that the historical returns from here through October will be weak- and likely negative.
As i sit here tonight, I am confident of a few things- I wish I had retired Earlier in life and not been as focused on securing that financial "future" but it certainly makes life easier today- i wish I had allowed myself to be the average Joe investor- because they have stayed the course over the last decade + and have outperformed. Market timing kept me out of the big drops lower, but you only get to take advantage if you get back in at the bottom- and you never know when you're catching that falling knife-
i realize now- that the best buys this year- in SPY- have been the adds at the pullbacks to the 50 ema on the responding higher moves., and use the 50 ema lows as the stops- Until it eventually fails to make a new high and the trend declines. -I'll have to make that backtest on the SPY- and chart it out- My typical preferred entry is on a trend continuation- breaking out to a new high- But exploring the other side of this coin - Buying the up move after a substantial pullback - IN an existing primary uptrend- but putting the stop-loss at that low- in case the pullback is actually turning into a falling knife and larger downtrend-
F-FORD put in a $12.38 low Friday, and GM yesterday- but both are now in Downtrends-potential falling knifes-EMAs inverted ,and it is likely that the bounce higher is just a momentum reaction to the upside that will not mark the final bottom- Instead, I bought -as a IB trade - BWA- auto supplier on the oversold up move play -
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Post by sd on Aug 25, 2021 6:54:50 GMT -5
8-25-21 Futures slightly in the red- have turned green @ 9 am. Buying ABT at the open- INTU - a position- Great earnings- higher this am F hit my higher Buy-stop/limit entry price and just filled @ 9:46 - 100 @ $13.18. This is an oversold bounce- but not to be trusted as being the "bottom"
Got off my complacent buff today, and set stops across all positions except for XLRE and HEDJ- and will see how they hold up this week. I'm Holding a small CRM position- and it will report this pm - Presently have a small profit with the stop loss just below today's lows. I just took the tight stop off, since the report reaction will be a gap - higher or lower.but after hours- and it will be tomorrow's open that either sees a drop back into the prior trading range, or a gap breakout higher- CRM had a high priced buy- of Slack just ahead of the pandemic that the market may have doubts on.
PM- CRM posted an earnings beat- I added a few positions today , as the markets- Spy, Nasdaq again Close higher
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Post by sd on Aug 26, 2021 8:32:37 GMT -5
8-26-21 Futures relatively Flat pre market- Viewing AAPL- While seeing the indexes able to keep grinding out new highs- QQQ'S pushed out higher Monday, Tues, Wed- Megacap Index MGK along for the ride- GOOG notching an all-time high- Why isn't AAPL participating-? AAPL is range bound at the 151- 145 levels- EMA's are converging as price has been relatively sideways for a month- with an attempted breakout last week not succeeding. I had Sold my AAPL position last week- locked in some profits- However, When it does break out from here- and make a Close above the range- That would provide a continuation move higher-
The Negative side of STOP-LIMITS: along with holding into earnings- While CRM beat and is higher today, DG failked to meet expectations and had a sharp drop -opening lower and below my stop-limit. I recently elected to use Stops with Limits vs just the typical Stop- In part, this was due to stops being executed at a sharp drop in price , well below the normal price channel - causing the Stop to become activated at a much lower price, only to see a quick rebound higher as those stops are bought up on the cheap by the market maker- Holding through Earnings is a total crapshoot-and While CRMs gains higher are excellent, they are negated by the drop and loss in DG. Additionally, since price dropped another $5.00 from the open before i was able to change the order from a stop-limit to a market sell- So I lost an additional $100 on the 20 share position ...
INTU Posted 'blowout' earnings - the initial reaction was a gap higher open that failed to hold- Price drops back into the uptrend channel-
Markets weak across the board today- Waiting on the Fed talk tomorrow- Suicide Bomber at the Afgan airport- kills some 12 US soldiers- wounded more- and killed some 60+ Afgan's trying to get out of the Country-
CRM had a very solid earnings beat, gapped higher today, but weakened in the last hour- I had moved a stop up just below today's open about mid day- - Stop executed on the drop the last hour.
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Post by sd on Aug 27, 2021 7:05:59 GMT -5
Friday- 8-27-21 -Future up , waiting on a virtual Jackson Hole Fed meeting today- Taper announcement for later this year or early 2022 is likely- Inflation is running above the 2% level and looks to be on going....
Buying ROK on the breakout above the range. Chairman Powell- reassures the markets that the Fed is not going to react too soon with a taper or a Fed Funds rate hike - Markets going higher! Nice gains across most positions today-
EOW- $242,167.00 IB 21,743- Grinding higher- less than a 4% cash position as i added to some existing positions, opened new
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Post by sd on Aug 30, 2021 11:11:37 GMT -5
8-30-21 Markets open the week higher- putting the remaining cash to use- Added to GNRC in IB- generator power company- Storm IDA has wiped out some of the major electrical Grid in LA- New Orleans got spared- the Gates and Levees and pumps all held , Unlike the Disaster from Katrina a decade + ago-
Sold REGN in IB, bought in the Van. Regeneron makes a drug -Remsdisivir that helps in the fight against Covid- In the IB account, very tight stop-losses and a short time frame to hold a position expecting it to breakout higher-
Added: IGV- Software ETF Added to the BX position- Bought TEAM vs AAPL- AAPL finallypushing out to a new high.
As I've continued the approach to focusing primarily on stocks in uptrends- and recently using the scan engine to quickly find outperforming stocks with typically high SCTR ratings- - that also brings to the forefront stocks that are leading during the rotations between sectors- The various rotations that occur favoring sub groups or industries within an industry group can identify what areas are the momentum movers- and which are the laggards. With the Fed reassuring the markets that a rate increase will be well announced in advance, but the present outlook doesn't indicate a need to have a knee jerk reaction to the inflation that is largely transitory in it's present jump on goods and prices...expectation is that inflation will moderate as the recovery gets further underway, that shipping and import costs will eventually recede... We'll see.
Aside from hitting a peak account high in February, the net account value has since gone sideways to down- in the subsequent months- and struggled in JULY and August- to not give up a large amount of gains- Chasing sector rotations amidst market volatility made for a difficult 6 months- and the recent week + upswing and putting sideline cash back in to catch some upside has been a positive- So, I haven't been an astute manager in capturing gains- But that also tells me that I needed to adapt and modify the approach to better fit with what was working in the markets- As can be seen from a 1 year performance chart- last September through October was not a good time for the account- I don't intend to allow that same $8k drop to occur this year- so I will be relying on stops to retain the majority of gains- and to reduce losses. A "typical" -10% correction is not uncommon- and hasn't occurred in a very long time-
As we move forward into September- A seasonally volatile and weak time for the markets- the question becomes whether I attempt to become the Investor on core positions- or whether i continue to apply the stop-loss strategy I've become accustomed to- When the markets deliver a benign uptrending week or two, it's easy to become complacent. Backed with outstanding earnings delivered by many companies reporting this quarter, and giving good forward guidance, the trend should be able to maintain-it's upslope-
Diversification and some Random notes:
If one wants to make a lot of money, Concentrating your assets on a few outperforming stocks is the way to go- Assuming the trades go in your favor- and you have a strategy to take profits and reduce losses. Knowing when the environment favors your approach and when it does not....understanding the difference between the 2 and not risking alot when it is not in your favor---- Diversification: said to be the Market's free lunch... Even Warren Buffet disdains diversification- but his advice for most is to simply Buy and Hold the S&P 500 index in an ETF-
In trading accounts- growth is the desired driver - so betting a larger % size and capturing the wins and minimizing the losses is the recommended way to increase one's account size- Minervini is an excellent trader for active traders to emulate- and learn from- Appling a position sizing strategy with fixed stops will keep one out of trouble- unless one has a series of large losses on a few oversized positions- or one doesn't have a strategy to trade in the market environment- that is active at that time-
- I have to differentiate IB as my trading account, The Van Roth also - more trades vs investments- - and then the Van IRA as the 'retirement' fund.- with more conservative holdings spread across that account- but the expectation is that each position will become a positive holding and continue to be in an uptrend-or the position will be sold , the loss will be taken - ideally a relatively small loss- Presently, I realize i hold too many small positions- Shotgun approach on what is trending higher and making new 52 week highs- The winners that continue to trend higher are the wheat separate from the chaff... With 50+ positions-across the 3 accounts: many are small, just 1-2% of the entire combined account value, and so a loss on one- will not be a significant hit on the overall account- My largest stock positions were MSFT & GOOG- but i was impatient with Goog and sold 3 of the 4 positions- now just holding 1 as the stock broke out right after i sold the 3 shares...
5 recent positions are in the Red today-3 reits, energy,
PYPL on NEWS: Last bit of free cash used here:
TEAM- PROGRESSIVELY MOVING HIGHER USING STOPS BY VIEWING ON A TIGHTER TIME FRAME
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Post by sd on Aug 31, 2021 7:44:41 GMT -5
8-31-21 Futures slightly negative now- after setting new highs yesterday. The Final flight out of Afganistan occurred yesterday. Stranding many that could not get through to the airport- including some Americans. Those remaining will now become casualties or hostages for ransom.... The US failed to recognize the ability of the Taliban to take over the country so rapidly- and the President's inability or will to extend the deadline for leaving the Country will haunt this administration. The expectation is that China will now become the dominant presence there as the country has considerable rare earth resources.
I filled up the trucks yesterday, and the 5 gallon cans for the boat- Colonial pipeline has part of it's system down- but it should be able to provide fuel from Greensb oro NC to New Jersey system- but that westerly may be impacted severely by the storm? - During the ransomware episode , the pipeline's limited production affected a wide area- Power systems wiped out due to IDA in La. could be many weeks to restore.
AAPL closed at a new high yesterday- confirming the breakout- The expectation should be that the stock will not fall back lower into the prior range- AAPL has been notably underperforming the markets this year- opening the year @ $133.00 and yesterday breaking $153.00 a net gain of 15% YTD. I may reenter this as a trade when I get some cash cleared....S Korea is banning platform fees that will impact AAPL and GOOG.... While it had a solid Close near the high and with good volume- will it retest the upper end of the range- $150.00-$149?
Labor report coming in later this week- It likely will be lackluster due to the Delta varient limiting many business's reopenings- Here, Duke university had 350 new cases in just 1 week- The Supplemental payments are ending, so a lot of folks that have remained at home with that financial safety umbrella will now be inclined to seek employment- Many businesses are now mandating vaccinations for their employees- The FDA finally got off it's backside and gave it's approval of the vaccine ... \ the 1 hr AAPL chart: Markets are weak today- and AAPL is seeing some profit taking . The question to be determined is how far down will price retrace? I view the $150-$149 as a likely support level for this breakout yesterday. If price doesn't find buyers at this level, a drop back into the lower range would be bearish imo.
EOD- adjusted stops using the 4 hr chart. With the markets generally weak today, generally most positions finished in the RED compared to yesterday- Several stops were activated - KSS, MASI. KSS- KOHL's is a retailer .... MASI medical instrtuments
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Post by sd on Sept 1, 2021 6:20:09 GMT -5
9-1-21 Futures decently in the green- Family obligations will have me away from the computer today- Free cash cleared in the IB account-Will review yesterday's new 52 week highs for possible entries- August beat it's historical records in terms of ALL MONTHLY market returns SINCE 1928!
DXCM- Healthcare sector- Medical supplies- beat earnings in JULY- had a big pop higher, but is basing sideways- Potentially trying to break out higher- using a buy-stop with a limit to take a position- with a relatively wide -5% stop on the initial order .
Order filled on the strong up move!
A view of the 5 minute chart shows the volatility swing in each 5 minute bar.
Good close today- but AAPL made a lackluster attempt to move higher- where i added today, but Closed today near the open-Not bullish at all.
Order filled at the open- 9:30-01 $530.995 = essentially $531.00 as price dropped from the $532 open. Also bought UNG - nat gas-filled at 9:38 am $15.60 another 52 week high SCTR score.
Russel closed up higher along with the Nasdaq.
intentionally Tight -take profits- stops executed on NHF slight weakness, break of the fast ema- NHF is interesting as a financial Closed end fund- that is changing into a REIT- I took 2 starter positions in this as a trade to test the waters- and will watch to see if it behaves for a future reentry- "About the NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NHF)
The NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NYSE:NHF) is a closed-end fund managed by NexPoint Advisors, L.P. that is in the process of converting to a diversified REIT. "
It appeared on the scan, and it looked to be a low volatility trender- relatively smooth trade-and use the 4 hr psar to set a tight exit stop- Perhaps rely on the daily psar for a 'safer' reentry as it trends lower.
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Post by sd on Sept 1, 2021 17:07:05 GMT -5
Random - Market rotation - is the value component coming back? Large , mega cap has outperformed this year.
Small caps- IWM had a short surge higher jan- March- but since have trended sideways in a choppy range. The IWM holds 2,000 smaller cap stocks - It is also comprised of individual stocks that can be broadly separated as "Growth" (IWF) or Value (IWD) reflecting 1,000 companies in each of the indexes. and with all the ETFs out there, can be sliced even narrower , down to the 600 number-
money.usnews.com/funds/etfs/rankings/small-growth?sort=return1yr
or the various Value etfs available-
www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-smallcap-600-value/#overview
In shifting asset weights to sectors in favor-has been a real volatile challenge- and largely only in hindsight-
Sector rotations occur quickly- and "corrections" can take wide swings.I don't think I was very aware of this until seeing it 1st hand this year- THE IWM has had 3 corrections exceeding 10% swings from highs to the lows and 1 -8% swing this year- Conventional portfolio balancing likely gets trashed in this type of sideways chop- I think the IWM index likely reflects the volatility and industry group rotations that have occurred- as thaT INDEX holds a wide mix of smaller company stocks in both the value and growth sectors. It seems logical to understand which market segments are in the driver's seat...and which are taking a back seat...
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Post by sd on Sept 2, 2021 7:53:40 GMT -5
9-2-21 Futures up premarket- Jobs report came in slightly low for the week, with the main jobs report tomorrow- A low jobs report will keep the Fed on Hold for the upcoming taper. One conservative position I held - ABBV stopped out yesterday on news that the FDA will require new warning labels for ABBV, and 2 other pharma companies on one of their drugs- 'The FDA required new and updated warning labels on all three JAK inhibitors in arthritis treatment — hurting AbbVie stock, in particular. ' Fortunately, the relatively tight stop exited at $ 118.08 following my higher purchase several weeks ago @ $119.66 - A NARROW LOSS OF -1.3 % ...
A Day with the family today- Enclosed my youngest daughter's back yard with chain link fence so Charley - a rescue- can run free -and safely Returned home after the market Close to find the account gained .5% despite the tech positions lackluster today- Did Buy AAPL back this am. Reviewing the holdings this pm, tech positions were down slightly- XLK, MSFT, GOOG, while the equal weighted QQEW gained slightly. What worked in my favor today :Industrials, Healthcare, Realestate- Reits, Energy. and ,yes, AAPL. One of my recent positions is an ETF- QUAL - that has had a 20%+ ytd return with relatively low volatility- Over the past 6 months , it has had 5 shallow pullbacks that never broke through the 50 ema-
Tomorrow brings the awaited jobs report- A new Covid varient-MU - is being reported-
Markets Closed the day:
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Post by sd on Sept 3, 2021 6:47:03 GMT -5
Jobs Report Day - 9-3-21 widely watched- Futures slightly in the green- 57 deaths from IDA across the country- with a number of people in NYC drowning in basement apartments due to the extreme flooding. Unusual to have tornadoes in NJ, NY - "Climate change" is being cited as the cause- Wildfires continue in Cal- with drought continuing there. Damage estimates 27B-40B from IDA - insurance rates rising
Dismal Jobs report came up 500,000 jobs short of the expected 750,000 jobs expected. this should reassure the markets that the Fed won't react too soon with a taper-
Presently I hold only a few ETFs to get some % with global diversification-HEDJ- hedges Europe, EMXC -emerging mkts without China, INDA- exposure to INDIA-
ETF.com monthly report - shows inflows and outflows from specific Country funds - www.etf.com/system/files/sites/default/files/private/etfreport_september2021.pdf
For anyone interested in the CRYPTO mkt- see pgs 12,13 in the link -
Position taken in AVGO on upside Mom/guidance $503.50 stop $485.00
BTU has been a recent position with momentum - Energy space looking to add to the position- It has trended well for months-
UNG is seeing a high volume breakout from the AUG highs.
EOD- ONLY THE NAS with a slight gain- I sold underperforming HON, EMR, XLB today- added to BTU, FTNT, TEAM- XLRE,ZS, nEW- UPST,
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