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Post by realdeal on Dec 23, 2019 17:28:02 GMT -5
 (Click to enlarge)
IRA takes the lead with a 0.48% gain. Sd in second place -0.30% and in third Blygh -0.50% |
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Post by realdeal on Dec 23, 2019 17:31:51 GMT -5
 Here’s to a wonderful Holiday season and a Happy New Year! |
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Post by sd on Dec 23, 2019 17:39:13 GMT -5
I'll get the charts updated momentarilyand i second that- A Merry Christmas or Happy Season - depending.on one's personal beliefs....All,
www.stockcharts.com/public/1675108
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Post by sd on Dec 23, 2019 18:26:51 GMT -5
Real Deal is the only rider with a new selection- ! The rest of us are using our default entries- I got caught up with some vacation and lost track of the Sunday deadline....
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Post by realdeal on Dec 23, 2019 20:18:23 GMT -5
SD,
Don't worry about it... enjoy... 
-rd
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Post by realdeal on Dec 24, 2019 13:57:33 GMT -5
IRA lead expands with a 2.53 gain. SD in second with -0.26% and in Blygh -0.51%
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Post by sd on Dec 24, 2019 21:45:52 GMT -5
As we close in on year end, getting ready for 2020- and some New Year Horse Race picks....I would have to note that AAPL appears to be the best DOW performer of 2019!
It is up 103% in 2019! WOW! Jim Cramer recently admonished that one should Own AAPL- and Not Trade it - AAPL is widely held by institutional managers, individuals, and included within many funds and ETF's.
Since the Horse Race is about short term trading- and none of us picked AAPL to be this year's default .... what will be the big winner next year?
Attached is a 2 year chart of AAPL- Some interesting stats- AAPL is up over 100% in 2019- Very Impressive! And it is Close to the analyst price max- although Webbush raised the target to $350 this week. A clear Momentum gainer net 2019- But consider the wider picture of what occurred in 2018.
In 2018, AAPL closed Jan 2 167.20, Saw an October 3 high $227.84 ( a 36% net gain) and then downtrended to a Dec 28 low $ 155.41 for a -7% loss on the entire year!
A Buy and hold approach would have seen that 36% earlier gain evaporate alltogether and become a loss- While 2019 would have rescued the Buy and Hold devotee, The combined return of the 2 year investment 167.20 to 284.27 = a lesser 75% gain or a decent 2 year average of 37.6%.
That is still a very decent averaged return, but quite a difficult Drawdown/ decline to stomach in 2018- after having nice gains-
The question I would ask of those that come to this board- How would you have traded this stock these past 2 years using a consistent approach?
Would the approach capture the gains and reduce the periods of
Reduce the drawdowns? Capture the gains? For those visitors to this Horse Race, The Question is : How would you have traded/invested AAPL these past 2 years?
MERRY CHRISTMAS!
i.imgur.com/XjFGB9U.png
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Post by sd on Dec 26, 2019 21:30:36 GMT -5
FWIW-I did a backtest of trades in AAPL for the past 2 years using a methodology centered around using the Elder Impulse bars for entry/exits and stops -
Overall, the net results look promising with a much smaller volatility decline vs holding AAPL as a Buy & Hold position, and netting an equal net gain....Lower RISK, Equal reward- It's a good starting point for a momentum methodology 12-26 entry in the Strategies thread ...
dgoriginal.proboards.com/thread/691/sds-2019-ramblings?page=8
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Post by sd on Dec 27, 2019 9:36:58 GMT -5
I'll take TSLA at the FC- Stop $410.00 Short covering Rally ?
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Post by realdeal on Dec 27, 2019 16:57:17 GMT -5
 (click to enlarge) On a holiday shortened week and graveyard of a board, but for SD posting yet he will never get reply by any other member  . The horse race results are in.
IRA takes it with a 8.04% gain and in second place Blygh -0.21% and in third SD -0.54% No worries- helps me sort things out by writing it down-
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Post by realdeal on Dec 27, 2019 17:12:37 GMT -5
I'll go with SDC "long" stop 8 and sell limit 10
-rd
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Post by sd on Dec 27, 2019 18:42:44 GMT -5
With the markets making new highs almost daily recently- Our horses didn't have much get up and go- Ira's short volatility captured the market's move this week! Congrats !
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Post by Spiderman on Dec 29, 2019 7:20:38 GMT -5
Congrats IRA
I'll ride MSFT long this week.
Happy New Year !!!
Spiderman
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Post by sd on Dec 30, 2019 15:42:18 GMT -5
stopped out on TSLA @ 410 @ the open; on market weakness/profit taking this am- Not the way to be ending the year!
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ira85
New Member
Posts: 837
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Post by ira85 on Dec 30, 2019 16:27:19 GMT -5
Darn. I was planning NOT to short VIXY this week. But I remembered it too late to make an entry. I was afraid we may get the start of a correction this week and VIXY might be a lot better long than short this week. We shall see. But short VIXY is my default so I'm stuck with it, like it or not.
I like Spiderman's pick, MSFT. If I had to have a one stock portfolio, I'd strongly consider MSFT. For the past decade my biggest holding has been MO. That worked great for years, but not so much lately. MSFT may take MO's place as the one to hold year after year. - ira
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. The horse race results are in.