|
|
Post by blygh on Dec 5, 2016 16:37:46 GMT -5
And the are off!!!
| Rider | Horse | Open | Latest | G/L | % | Stop | Limit | Rank | | 1 Tiarra | COO | 161.52 | 163.96 | +2.44 | +1.51% |
|
| 2 | | 2 Ira | VIIX | 9.45 | 9.15 | -0.30 | -3.18% |
|
| 6 | | Spiderman | RYI | 15.05 | 15.10 | +0.05 | +0.33% |
|
| 3 | | 4 SD | UPS | 116.91 | 116.56 | -0.35 | -0.30% |
|
| 5 | | 5 RealDeal | ITCI | 15.19 | 15.44 | +0.25 | +1.65% |
|
| 1 | 6 Blygh
| KTOS | 8.11 | 7.73 | -0.38 | -4.69% | 7.00 | 10.50 | 7 | | Market | SPY | 220.65 | 221.00 | +0.35 | +0.16% |
|
| 4 | | 8 | QQQ | 116.32 | 116.62 | +0.30 | +0.26% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post by sd on Dec 5, 2016 18:25:31 GMT -5
here's how day 1 on the track went 
|
|
|
|
Post by blygh on Dec 6, 2016 17:34:54 GMT -5
Around the far turn into the back stretch
| Rider | Horse | Open | Latest | G/L | % | Stop | Limit | Rank | | 1 Tiarra | COO | 161.52 | 165.71 | +4.19 | +2.59% |
|
| 3 | | 2 Ira | VIIX | 9.45 | 8.82 | -0.62 | -6.66% |
|
| 7 | | Spiderman | RYI | 15.05 | 15.80 | +0.75 | +4.98% |
|
| 2 | | 4 SD | UPS | 116.91 | 116.54 | -0.37 | -0.32% |
|
| 5 | | 5 RealDeal | ITCI | 15.19 | 16.37 | +1.18 | +7.77% |
|
| 1 | 6 Blygh
| KTOS | 8.11 | 7.69 | -0.42 | -5.18% | 7.00 | 10.50 | 6 | | Market | SPY | 220.65 | 221.70 | +1.05 | +0.48% |
|
| 4 | | 8 | QQQ | 116.32 | 116.88 | +0.56 | +0.48% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post by sd on Dec 7, 2016 9:20:22 GMT -5
WRONG EDIT
|
|
|
|
Post by blygh on Dec 7, 2016 16:18:10 GMT -5
|
|
|
|
Post by sd on Dec 7, 2016 18:25:22 GMT -5
HERE'S TODAY'S PHOTOS 12.7.16 |
|
|
|
Post by blygh on Dec 8, 2016 17:09:18 GMT -5
Into the home stretch
| Rider | Horse | Open | Latest | G/L | % | Stop | Limit | Rank | | 1 Tiarra | COO | 161.52 | 167.80 | +6.28 | +3.89% |
|
| 3 | | 2 Ira | VIIX | 9.45 | 8.87 | -0.58 | -6.14% |
|
| 6 | | Spiderman | RYI | 15.05 | 16.15 | +1.10 | +7.31% |
|
| 1  | | 4 SD | UPS | 116.91 | 118.98 | +2.07 | +1.77% |
|
| 5 | | 5 RealDeal | ITCI | 15.19 | 15.97 | +0.78 | +5.14% |
|
| 2 | 6 Blygh
| KTOS | 8.11 | 7.40 | -0.71 | -8.76% | 7.00 | 10.50 | 7  | | Market | SPY | 220.65 | 225.15 | +3.95 | +2.04% |
|
| 4 | | 8 | QQQ | 116.32 | 118.57 | +2.25 | +1.93% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post by blygh on Dec 9, 2016 16:37:01 GMT -5
|
|
|
|
Post by blygh on Dec 9, 2016 17:11:18 GMT -5
Total gains/losses since 7/16/16 - wins for 2016
As of 12/9/2016
| Ride | Gain/Loss% | Wins | Default pick | Long - short | Tiarra
| -48.24% | 6 | ESTY | long | | Joe | +2.83% | 4 | none |
| | Ira | +8.05% | 9 | LMT | long | | Spiderman | -20.62% | 9 | EXAS | long | | RealDeal | +10.45% | 1 | none |
| | SD | +5.89% | 6 | CURE | long | | Blygh | +28.06% | 8 | ISRG | long |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Post by sd on Dec 9, 2016 17:57:16 GMT -5
WOW! that's as close a finish as can be -other than Tying !
Congrats Spiderman and Tiarra for a hair on the Nose finish!
Tech seems to be getting some love finally , and TWTR has posted 3 consecutive up days- I'll take TWTR with a stop at $18.65
|
|
|
|
Post by sd on Dec 9, 2016 18:31:15 GMT -5
AND HERE IS THE FINISH!-  |
|
|
|
Post by realdeal on Dec 10, 2016 23:04:17 GMT -5
Congrats SpiderMan!
Tiarra has been doing very well ever since my return =)
I will go with TWLO (SHORT)
|
|
|
|
Post by Spiderman on Dec 11, 2016 7:52:34 GMT -5
Thanks.
WOW! That was a very close race.
I'll ride YRCW long.
Spiderman
|
|
|
|
Post by sd on Dec 11, 2016 11:02:38 GMT -5
I had been curious how the Horse Race Weekly #1 winners would have fared had one made a purchase at the closing price and held until the present day.
This assumed no stops were used- just buy and hold for the long term.
started 7-29-16 when we excluded leveraged picks from the race. That's 18 weeks and the averaged gain is 4.67% No stop-losses on any of the positions.
Spiderman holds the highest gains and highest losses
8.6.- EXAS won $19.25 today it is $14.39 down -25%
8.13 GPRO won $ 14.30 today it is $9.23 down -35%
There were 3 other past winners that are down today- for small amounts -0%, -1.8%, -3% 5 losing trades and 13 winning trades is a very respectable win/loss ratio. 72 % winners.
10-7 DXPE won $ 29.13 today it is $37.36 UP +28% for the largest gain to date.
Blygh and Joe both had winners taking the short side-
Gains to date for the short winners are 22%,0%, 13%, 6.5%, 14.4% for a net gain of 55.9% =avg gain 11.18%
Blygh has a high win rate on his short winners still making money.
One could suppose that if stops had been used , reducing the 2 large losing trades to say -10% each, the net average gain would be 6.8%.
it might be interesting for another day to review what a -10% stop set on all positions would yield in terms of actual execution price.
Also what would a trailing stop-loss -10% price on each position have gained?What about 15% ? 20%? That would be selling any position that declined more than 10%, 15, 20 from it's high. Good rain day project to consider.
|
|
ira85
New Member
Posts: 837
|
Post by ira85 on Dec 11, 2016 17:05:21 GMT -5
Congrats Spidy!
I think my default LMT has more downside risk, but I think GDX has more. So this week I'll ride GDX short. -ira
|
|
