Week12 19 March thru 23 March 2018

[blygh]

Week 12
Mon 19 March                           The Morning Line   

                                                                                   @fc = "At Friday close DFLT = default pick

Rider	Horse	Open	Latest	G/L	%	Stop		Rank
1 Tiarra	MCDSHT	162.36				164.-
2   Ira	AGLE	10.61				8.45
3Spiderman	PACW	52.73
4    SD	CBOE	119.22@fc				117.-
5  RealDeal	UCO	25.39
6   Blygh	FBRsht	19.57				21.75
7   Market	SPY	273.35
8	QQQ	169.16

.................................................................................................................................

[blygh]

Week 12
Mon 19 March            Out of the gate and into the far turn

                                                                                   @fc = "At Friday close DFLT = default pick

Rider	Horse	Open	Latest	G/L	%	Stop		Rank
1 Tiarra	MCDSHT	162.36	150.01	-12.35	+7.61%	164.-		1
2   Ira	AGLE	10.61	10.90	+0.29	+2.73%	8.45		2
3Spiderman	PACW	52.73	52.27	-0.46	-0.87%			6
4    SD	CBOE	119.22@fc	118.58	-0.64	-0.54%	117.-		5
5  RealDeal	UCO	25.39	25.27	-.12	-0.47%			4
6   Blygh	FBRsht	19.57	19.46	-0.11	+0.56%	21.75		3
7   Market	SPY	273.35	270.49	-2.86	-1.05%			7
8	QQQ	169.16	167.10	-2.06	-1.22%			8

Tiarra bolts out of the gate and into the lead . . Ira chasing  .. SD misses being stopped out by $0.22

[sd]

Big Lead for Tiarra!
Here's the charts stockcharts.com/public/1675108

[realdeal]

25.39 open thanks -rd
You are right - sorry - typo - corrected
Blygh

[blygh]

Week 12
Tues 20 March            Out of the far turn into the backstretch  

                                                                                   @fc = "At Friday close DFLT = default pick

Rider	Horse	Open	Latest	G/L	%	Stop		Rank
1 Tiarra	MCDSHT	162.36	159.38	-2.98	+1.84%	164.-		2
2   Ira	AGLE	10.61	10.57	-0.04	-0.38%	8.45		5
3Spiderman	PACW	52.73	51.81	-0.92	-1.74%			8
4    SD	CBOE	119.22@fc	119.90	+0.68	+0.57%	117.-		4
5  RealDeal	UCO	25.39	26.32	+0.93	+3.67%			1
6   Blygh	FBRsht	19.57	19.32	-0.25	+1.28%	21.75		3
7   Market	SPY	273.35	270.95	-2.40	-0.88%			6
8	QQQ	169.16	167.65	-1.51	-0.89%			7

Lead change - Real Deal moves into the lead - Tiarra and Blygh  chasing 

[sd]

FED speak today! Let's see how much clarity comes with the new Fed !
And the boogeyman- budget this week?
Anybody holding FB? Wonder what people thought when they clicked the "I Agree" button on the bottom of the page when they signed up- or got that extra free add-on program?

[blygh]

Week 12
Wed 21 March 2018                 Into the backstretch   

                                                                                   @fc = "At Friday close DFLT = default pick

Rider	Horse	Open	Latest	G/L	%	Stop		Rank
1 Tiarra	MCDSHT	162.36	158.66	-3.70	+2.28%	164.-		2
2   Ira	AGLE	10.61	10.85	+0.24	+2.26%	8.45		3
3Spiderman	PACW	52.73	51.68	-1.05	-2.00%			8
4    SD	CBOE	119.22@fc	117.33	-1.89	-1.59%	117.-		7
5  RealDeal	UCO	25.39	27.87	+2.48	9.77/2= 4.89%			1
6   Blygh	FBRsht	19.57	19.40	-0.17	+0.87%	21.75		4
7   Market	SPY	273.35	270.43	-2.92	-1.07%			5
8	QQQ	169.16	166.92	-2.24	-1.32%			6

Real Deal opens a huge lead - Tiarra and Ira head and head for second place

[ira85]

Hey RD, I was curious about UCO as it's accelerating. It seems to be a leveraged ETF.

Fund Summary

The investment seeks to provide daily investment results (before fees and expenses) that correspond to twice the daily performance of the Bloomberg WTI Crude Oil SubindexSM. The “Ultra” funds seek results for a single day that match (before fees and expenses) two times (2x) the daily performance of a benchmark.

I don't see an exact unlevered cousin. CRUD and OIIL appear to be similar to UCO but not leveraged. But not an exact match. Sorry I didn't spot it sooner. -ira

Ira is right.  UCO seeks a 200% return on its underlying index.  I think the best way to handle the situation is to divide the return by 2- to discount the security to its index

Is everyone OK with that?  Other ideas?? 

Blygh  

[blygh]

Week 12
Thurs 22 March 2018                           Into the home stretch   

                                                                                   @fc = "At Friday close DFLT = default pick

Rider	Horse	Open	Latest	G/L	%	Stop		Rank
1 Tiarra	MCDSHT	162.36	157.04	-5.32	+3.28%	164.-		1
2   Ira	AGLE	10.61	10.50	-0.11	-1.04%	8.45		4
3Spiderman	PACW	52.73	49.52	-3.21	-6.09%			8
4    SD	CBOE	119.22@fc	stopped@117 112.62	-2.22	-1.86%	117.-		5
5  RealDeal	UCO	25.39	26.89	+1.50	+5.01%/2= 2.53%			2
6   Blygh	FBRsht	19.57	19.17	-0.40	+2.04%	21.75		3
7   Market	SPY	273.35	263.67	-9.68	-3.54%			6
8	QQQ	169.16	162.80	-6.36	-3.76%			7

Tiarra takes  the lead - Real Deal and Blygh chasing - SD stopped out 
Real Deal's return was divided by 2 due to it being a leveraged ETF which uses options to double the return of the Oil index

[blygh]

Week 12
Fri  23 March 2018                          Across the line   

                                                                                   @fc = "At Friday close DFLT = default pick

Rider	Horse	Open	Latest	G/L	%	Stop		Rank
1 Tiarra	MCDSHT	162.36	154.98	-7.38	+4.55%	164.-		2
2   Ira	AGLE	10.61	10.57	-0.04	-0.38%	8.45		4
3Spiderman	PACW	52.73	48.17	-4.56	-8.65%			8
4    SD	CBOE	119.22@fc	stpped @117 111.71	-2.22	-1.86%	117.-		5
5  RealDeal	UCO leveraged x 2	25.39	28.29	+2.90	+11.42%/2 +5.71%			1
6   Blygh	FBRsht	19.57	19.39	-0.18	+0.92%	21.75		3
7   Market	SPY	273.35	258.05	-15.30	-5.60%			6
8	QQQ	169.16	158.71	-10.45	-6.18%			7

Real Deal takes it by half a length ahead of second place Tiarra - Blygh a distant third

[blygh]

YTD for 2018 as of 3/23/18 Week 12 

Rider	Wins	Place	Show	YTD	Default	YTD
Tiarra	2	3	1	+13.3684%	AA
Ira	1	3	1	+4.4154%	VIXY short
Spiderman	1	2		+10.0124%	ESIO
SD	3	3	2	+63.5957%	XBI
Real Deal	3	1	2	+1.2367%	ICPT
Blygh	2		2	-0.6291%	QLYS
Market			4	-4.88337	SPY

SD still leading the YTD by a wide margin - Spiderman takes a hair cut and drops behind Tiarra - Real Deal makes it into the black - everyone is beating the S&P 500  

[sd]

Congrats to RD and Tiarra for good picks this week- and Blygh also finishes in the money!
Tough week to be holding long positions! I'm glad i set the stop loss I did to reduce my damage with CBOE-Also was a losing position for me. I hope i will come up with a more competitive pick this weekend!

[ira85]

Next week long CRSP. Stop loss @ 47.

Congrats RD for the good call on oil. Instead of fighting the long/short battle in stocks, you wisely looked at commodities and found a winner. Congrats Tiarra for the short pick. An excellent week to be short.

In this 9 year old bull market every time the market has been down "buy the dip" has been a winning strategy. Someday this bull will die. Is that time now? I don't think so. Buy this dip like all the others. I'll go long again with my biotech gene editing horse. I don't think there will be tariffs on biotech products. -ira

[Spiderman]

Congrats RD.
I'll ride ATVI long.
Spiderman

[realdeal]

Thanks everyone =)

Also thanks for not DQ me. In all honesty I didn't check, LOL comparing it to UWT 3X's which I knew I could not enter, I thought it was 1x's it didn't really move like a 2x to me.

RE:Ira85 UCO and others long oil ETF's had a triangle actually both the long and short ETF's did, been watching closely UWT since early Feb. The Ichimoku cloud helped lets just say and has improved my trading since I started using it last year. I like CRSP bucking the downward trend overall and among other factors chart wise.

Shorted trading week so I'll go with a boring and slow mover.

NEM (long)


-rd