2018 Longterm (1 year) stock pick contest

[blygh]

Rider	Horses	Open	Last	Gain/Loss	%	Stop	Limit	Rank
SD	FNI	40.03	34.41	-5.62	-14.04
	ARKQ	33.32	36.02	+2.70	+8.10
	ARKW	46.28	57.49	+11.21	+24.22
	ARKG	24.65	33.43	+8.78	+35.62
	ARKK	37.34	47.4	+10.06	+26.94
	Average	Return	3RD QTR	2018	16.168%
Blygh	HLT	80.28	80.78	+0.50	+0.62
	BA	295.75	371,90	+16.15	+5.46
	OC	92.45	54.27	-38.18	-41.30
	WLK	106.97	83.11	-23.86	-22.31
	XOM	83.82	85.62	+1.80	+2.15
	Average	Return	3 QTR	2018	-11.08%
*****	*****	*****	******	*******	***	******	****
Tiarra	PFE	36.38	44.07	+ 7.69	+21.14
	BABA	176.40	164,76	-11.64	-6.60
	BAC	29.75	29.47	-0.28	-0.94
-	TSLA	312.00	246.77	-65.23	-20.91
	AA	54.06	40.40	-13.66	-25.27
	AVERAGE	Return	3RD QTR		-6.33%
Spiderman	ADP	116.03	150.66	+34.63	+29.85
	EDU	95.74	74.01	-21.73	-22.70
	EXAS	52.54	78.92	+26.38	+50.21
	MSFT	86.12	114.37	+28.25	+32.80
	NVEC	86.71	105.88	+19.71	+22.11
	AVERAGE	Return	3RD Qtr	2018	22.454%
********	*******	*******	******	******	****	******	***	*
Ira	NTR	52.60	57.70	+5.10	+9.70
	FM	33.55	28.44	-5.11	-15.23
	EPI	27.98	24.11	-3.87	-13.83
	JO	16.00	dissolved
	TSLASHORT	312.00	264.77	-47.23	+15.14
		Average	Return	3RD QTR 2018	-10.55
	AVERAGE	RETURN
	*******	*******	*******	*******	***	*******	***	*
Real Deal	AAPL	170.16	225.74	+55.58	+32.68
	OSTK	64.10	27.70	-36.40	-56.79
	WPM	22.23	17.50	-4.37	-21.28
	CELG	105.29	89.48	-15.81	-15.02
	MRK	56.59	70.94	+14.35	+25.36
	Average	Return	3RD QTR		-7.01%
Market	DJAI	24830.39	26458.31	+1627.92	+6.5576
	SPY	267.84	291.40	+23.56	+8.80
	QQQ	156.56	185.79	+29.23	+18.67

 

[sd]

My Belief is that the global economy will continue to expand and exposure to innovation and growth- particularly in foreign markets - will dominate in 2018.
I was looking at various multi-factor funds to slice and dice - and - while it may be difficult to get the same growth in 2018- I think the active focused sector type of fund is worth
considering- No guarantee that past performance will be seen in 2018-

Note the disclaimer- "Momentum Style Risk. Investing in or having exposure to securities with positive momentum entails investing in securities that have had above-average recent returns. These securities may be more volatile than a broad cross-section of securities. Returns on securities that have previously exhibited momentum may be less than returns on other styles of investing or the overall stock market. Momentum can turn quickly and cause significant variation from other types of investments, and stocks that previously exhibited high momentum may not experience continued positive momentum. In addition, there may be periods when the momentum style is out of favor, and during which the investment performance of the Fund using a momentum strategy may suffer."


My 5 picks :
FNI-- ETF with exposure to India and China - dominant growth story with India exposure- 47% past year

The following funds focus on various market segments- One fund overlaps the other 3 , but i have included it as one of my selections- the % was the 2017 performance
ARKQ- Industrial innovation - 51%
ARKW Web /cloud 85%
ARKG Genomics 45%
ARKK Innovation 86%

ark-funds.com/

www.etf.com/channels/equity-etfs
over 1400 ETF's to select from- you can click on the screening tool to select performance statistics- While a 1 year outperformance may have occurred for more funds this year- I think a look at the 5 year stats as well perhaps is worth considering in making an Investment choice.

[Spiderman]

My year long picks
ADP, EDU, EXAS, MSFT, NVEC.
Spiderman

[ira85]

Year long picks: POT, FM, EPI, JO, and TSLA short

Very little logic here. Performance will probably be commensurate.

Good luck everyone! Happy New Year! -ira
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
It's January 3 and I just found a glitch in my picks. I was trying to pick fertilizer producer Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT). But POT merged with Agrium Inc January 2 creating a new company Nutrien Ltd. trading under the symbol NTR. It trades on the TSX and NYSE. Potash Corp stock POT stopped trading.

It seems to me the most logical thing to do is to change my pick from POT to NTR. It's still the same fertilizer company, plus another one. If that's okay, please change that stock symbol from POT to NTR. Thanks. -ira


Done

Bligh

[tiarra]

PFE, BABA, BAC, TSLA, AA long (default)

[realdeal]

Welcome back Tiarra =). Rather nice a$$ kicking last year, Congrats on that.

Bligh can you double check a few opening prices...

SD's ARKK Open: 37.34    changed

IRA85: FM: OPEN 33.55   looks right  
TSLA: OPEN 312.00           changed

Mine: WPM: OPEN: 22.23   looks right

Yours: XOM: OPEN:83.82  Changed 

My default ICPT Open 59.15 changed on the YTD   (rankings unchanged( 

-rd
Thanks for checking  other riders should double check my figures